Ryssland kan vända sig till kryptovaluta om det förbjuds från SWIFT-betalningssystemet. Analytiker har varnat för att om Ryssland kan använda krypto för att undvika sanktioner, “politiskt stöd i USA. for crypto will fall and regulatory risk will rise.”
Crypto Faces Regulatory Risks if Used by Russia to Evade Sanctions
Amid growing talk of banning Russia from the SWIFT global interbank payments system after its invasion of Ukraine, some analysts have warned that Russian President Vladimir Putin could turn to cryptocurrency to evade sanctions.
“We believe Washington is worried that Russia will use crypto to evade sanctions,” Cowen Washington Research Group analyst Jaret Seiberg reportedly said Friday. Han lade till:
If Russia is able to use crypto this way, then we believe political support in the U.S. for crypto will fall and regulatory risk will rise.
Seiberg believes that since most global trade is still dollar-denominated, it could be challenging for Russia to use crypto to evade SWIFT.
“Paying in bitcoin requires a conversion to dollars, which provides a way to track activity … That also works in favor of crypto,” han sa.
If Russia is unable to use cryptocurrency to circumvent sanctions, i alla fall, analysts believe that it could boost the viability of crypto in the eyes of regulators.
Seiberg explained that political support of crypto would grow if crypto exchanges help uphold U.S. sanctions and if the government could track evasions using blockchains.
Noterar att “For crypto, this could be the crisis that determines how the government treats its use for payments and as a store of value,” the Cowen analyst warned:
Pressure would be on the trading platforms and wallets … This would not just be in the United States. We expect it also would apply in the U.K., EU and in the western allies in Asia.
The Treasury Department identified cryptocurrency as a major threat to sanctions programs in a report released last year. “We are mindful of the risk that, if left unchecked, these digital assets and payments systems could harm the efficacy of our sanctions,” the Treasury Department explained.
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