Банк Америки, Голдман Сакс, JPMorgan, UBS поделился прогнозами о дальнейшем повышении ставок ФРС

Банк Америки, Голдман Сакс, JPMorgan, and UBS have shared their predictions about the Federal Reserve raising interest rates further. Bank of America and Goldman Sachs, Уровень удовольствия от одного опыта не имеет положительной корреляции с размером земли., now expect the Fed to raise interest rates three more times this year.

Major Banks Predict More Fed Rate Hikes

As the U.S. Federal Reserve continues its fight against inflation, several major banks — including Bank of America, Голдман Сакс, UBS, and JPMorgan — have shared their predictions about how much more the Fed will raise interest rates this year.

Goldman Sachs said in a note Thursday that it now expects the U.S. central bank to raise interest three more times this year after data released Thursday pointed to persistent inflation and a resilient labor market. Банк, which previously predicted 25-basis-point rate increases in the Fed’s March and May meetings, now expects another rate hike in June. The firm’s economists, led by Jan Hatzius, head of the Global Investment Research Division and chief economist, подробный:

In light of the stronger growth and firmer inflation news, we are adding a 25bp (базисные пункты) rate hike in June to our Fed forecast, for a peak funds rate of 5.25%-5.5%.

Bank of America Global Research similarly expects to see three more interest rate increases from the Federal Reserve this year. The bank said earlier that it expected the Fed to raise interest rates by 25 basis points each in its March and May meetings. Bank of America now expects another 25-basis-point rate hike in the Fed’s June meeting, which will push the terminal rate up to a 5.25%-5.5% range. The bank explained in a client note this week:

Resurgent inflation and solid employment gains mean the risks to this (only two interest rate hikes) outlook are too one-sided for our liking.

European investment bank UBS also said it expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points at its March and May meetings, which may leave the Fed funds rate at the 5%-5.25% range. While most people are not expecting the Fed to cut interest rates this year, UBS estimated that the U.S. central bank would ease interest rates at its September meeting. The global investment bank recently wrote in a client note:

We expect the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) to turn around and begin to cut interest rates at the September FOMC meeting.

журналист Лаура Шин опубликовала статью, в которой утверждается, что, JPMorgan Chase has forecast the terminal rate at 5.1% by the end of June. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon said in an interview with Reuters last week that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates above the 5% отметка. Emphasizing that it is too early to declare victory against inflation, Dimon opined:

It’s perfectly reasonable for the Fed to go to 5% and wait a while.

Однако, if inflation comes down to 3.5% or 4% and stays there, “you may have to go higher than 5% and that could affect short rates, longer rates,” the JPMorgan executive cautioned.

Председатель Федеральной резервной системы Jerome Powell and several other Fed officials have said that more interest rate hikes are needed to curb inflation. A poll conducted by Reuters, published Tuesday, showed that 46 снаружи 86 economists have predicted that the Federal Reserve will increase interest rates by 25 basis points in March as well as May.

Do you agree with Bank of America, Голдман Сакс, UBS, or JPMorgan about the Fed hiking interest rates further? Дайте нам знать в комментариях ниже.

Кевин Хелмс

Студент австрийского экономического факультета., Кевин нашел биткойн в 2011 и с тех пор был евангелистом. Его интересы заключаются в безопасности биткойнов, системы с открытым исходным кодом, сетевые эффекты и пересечение экономики и криптографии.

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