Professor Steve Hanke Says US Economy Was Flat Over the Last Year, but Stresses ‘It’s Going to Hit South’

Amid the chaotic economy, plagued with central bank tinkering, supply chain issues, and red-hot inflation, the professor of applied economics at Johns Hopkins University, Steve Hanke believes a “pretty big recession” will take place in 2023. Speaking in an interview on Oct. 28, Hanke said that he updated the probability of a U.S. recession to a 90% chance, as he believes the money supply has tightened at an “unprecedented” rate.

Contenu

Economics Professor Steve Hanke Says Probability of a U.S. Recession is Now 90%

Professor Steve Hanke has been critical of the central banks worldwide and on Friday, he said the chances of a recession is very likely. Hanke spoke with the news anchor for Kitco News David Lin, et expliqué that he upped his prediction to a 90% chance a U.S. recession will occur. “Where we’re going is determined by where the money supply is going,” Hanke told Lin on Friday. “The Quantity Theory of Money is a way to determine national income determination.”

The professor of applied economics at Johns Hopkins University added:

We had the money supply being goosed in early 2020, when COVID hit, we had the money supply growing, on average, about three times faster than it should have been growing to hit a 2% inflation target. Par conséquent, we had a lot of inflation.

L'inflation aux États-Unis. has been an issue and the U.S. Federal Reserve’s key inflation gauge, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, increased by 0.5% in September. en outre, the September consumer price index (IPC) rapport had shown consumer prices jumped to 8.2%. Hanke says quantitative tightening is now a big issue as the money supply has contracted significantly, the economics professor stressed during his interview.

“The last seven months, the money supply has actually contracted by 1.1%,” Hanke told the Kitco anchor. “That’s almost unprecedented. That means, bien sûr, you have a big change in the money supply and then there’s a transmission mechanism. There are lags between the thrusts in the money supply, whether it’s going up or it’s going down, and what happens to the real economy,” Hanke added. The economics professor opined that he thinks these factors will lead the U.S. toward a large recession.

Hanke further Raconté the news anchor:

Some time, dans 2023, we’ve got a pretty big recession baked in the cake. So GDP numbers, they’re a great thing and you can celebrate it today, it’s not negative anymore, we had a positive number — the whole picture looks like the economy is kind of flat for the last year, but it’s going to hit south.

Hanke, toutefois, is not a fan of cryptocurrencies like bitcoin and he’s critized the country of El Salvador for adopting bitcoin as a form of legal tender. En juin 2021, a few months before bitcoin (BTC) tapped $69K per unit, Hanke expliqué that “with [Nayib] Bukele at the helm” his country faced “financial ruin.” Bukele shot back at Hanke’s critique when BTC reached $60K per unit in mid-October 2021.

Hanke is a fan of countries creating currency boards, an idea that leverages the use of a monetary authority to maintain a currency’s fixed exchange rate. Bitcoin, by design, is the antithesis of Hanke’s favored currency board solution as BTC’s network is decentralized, and the free market chooses the cryptocurrency’s exchange rate.

Tags dans cette histoire
Bitcoin, BTC, Banques centrales, consumer price index, Covid, Currency Board, Currency Boards, David Lin, economics, Économiste, Économie, Le sauveur, nourris, Réserve fédérale, GDP numbers, Kitco anchor, Kitco Interview, PCE, Steve Hanke, NOUS. dollars, Économie américaine, USD

What do you think about Steve Hanke’s opinion that says a “pretty big recession [est] baked in the cake?” Let us know what you think about this subject in the comments section below.

Jamie Redman

Jamie Redman est le responsable de l'information chez Bitcoin-Tidings.com News et un journaliste spécialisé dans les technologies financières vivant en Floride. Redman est un membre actif de la communauté des crypto-monnaies depuis 2011. Il a une passion pour Bitcoin, code open-source, et applications décentralisées. Depuis septembre 2015, Redman a écrit plus de 6,000 articles pour Bitcoin-Tidings.com Actualités sur les protocoles perturbateurs qui émergent aujourd'hui.




Crédits image: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

Avertissement: Cet article est à titre informatif seulement. Il ne s'agit pas d'une offre directe ou d'une sollicitation d'offre d'achat ou de vente, ou une recommandation ou une approbation de tout produit, prestations de service, ou des entreprises. Bitcoin-Tidings.com ne fournit pas d'investissement, impôt, légal, ou conseil comptable. Ni la société ni l'auteur ne sont responsables, directement ou indirectement, pour tout dommage ou perte causé ou prétendument causé par ou en relation avec l'utilisation ou la confiance accordée à tout contenu, biens ou services mentionnés dans cet article.

Lire avertissement