Le prix du bitcoin en octobre a montré des signes d'une double bulle similaire à la course haussière en 2013, et les spéculateurs ont essayé de deviner le principal actif cryptographique’arrêter. En octobre 20, L'analyste du marché des crypto-monnaies Justin Bennett a discuté du bitcoin’s possible price floor after it reaches the top. Bennett suggests the end of this cycle could be between $207,000 et $270,000. Assuming bitcoin crosses $200K per coin, Bennett thinks the digital asset’s bottom after an 80% pullback will be around $50K.
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‘2013 Vibes,’ ‘End-of-Cycle Targets,’ and Searching for the Elusive Bottom
The price of bitcoins (BTC) reached an all-time high (ATH) à $67,017 en octobre 20, 2021, and since then the price has shed around 8% en valeur. On that same day, cryptocurrency market analyst Justin Bennett published some insights about bitcoin’s future in a article de blog appelé “Charting Bitcoin’s Next Five Years.”
Cryptocademy’s analyst Bennett discusses BTC’s market fundamentals and he offers a prediction of the end of the cycle as well. In recent times, many bitcoin supporters suspect that a 2013-like double bubble is on the horizon, and the infamous stock-to-flow creator Plan B expliqué on Saturday that he’s feeling “2013 vibes.”
The blog post written by Bennett covers bitcoin bull cycles and talks about where bitcoin (BTC) is going over the next five years. “A look at the 2.272 et 2.414 Fibonacci extensions from the last two cycles shows a target area that was reached both times,” Bennett writes.
“If we apply that same area to the current rant, we get an end-of-cycle target for Bitcoin between $207,000 and $270,000,” the analyst adds. Following the end cycle outlook, Bennett details that the last three bear markets that followed the bull cycles have “produced corrections of 94%, 87%, et 84% respectively.”
Bennett writes that the previous data also shows that each bear market was less painful than the one prior. The analyst highlights that this data indicates that the leading crypto asset bitcoin (BTC) is becoming a “maturing market.”
Comme BTC continues to mature, Bennett stresses, bitcoin is “likely to see diminishing returns and bear market corrections.” The Cryptocademy analyst believes this end cycle will be no different. “As such, je’d expect the next bear market to pullback between 75% et 80% from the peak,” Bennett details. The digital currency market analyst’s blog post adds:
If we assume bitcoin reaches $200,000+ this cycle and pulls back between 75% et 80% during the next bear market, it would put the next cycle low somewhere around $50,000. And that makes perfect sense. $50,000 is a psychology number, et cela’s very near the $65,000 high that lasted for six months recently.
Predicting the Lowest of Lows
Bennett’s prediction follows the recent bitcoin price model crafted by Will Clemente. The lead insights analyst at Blockware Solutions, Will Clément, tweeted about a new bitcoin price model called the “Plancher d'approvisionnement illiquide” in mid-September. “Introducing: ‘Plancher d'approvisionnement illiquide,’” Clemente tweeted on September 15. “This combines Glassnode’s illiquid supply data with Plan B’s traditional S2F model, creating a price floor based on Bitcoin’s real-time scarcity. Currently $39K,” he added at the time.
There’s been a number of people attempting to call bitcoin’s price top et some even believe a single “bitcoin will eventually be equivalent to $1 million.” Bennett’s and Clemente’s recent statements touch upon bitcoin’s price bottom and the lowest of lows. Both of these predictions combined indicate that the lowest of lows following this bull cycle’s top could be anywhere between $39K to $50K.
What do you think about Justin Bennett’s blog post that suggests bitcoin’s floor will be around $50K per unit? Faites-nous savoir ce que vous pensez de ce sujet dans la section commentaires ci-dessous.